Wine production; On the road to decline?

Posted on October 31, 2013 by bill

Le vin, un produit en voie de disparition ?

 

L’offre mondiale de vin a atteint en 2012 son niveau le plus bas depuis 40 ans. Emmanuel Foudrot © Reuters

 

Le monde se dirige-t-il vers une pénurie de vin ? C’est ce qu’affirme Morgan Stanley, dans une étude publiée mercredi. L’offre mondiale ne cesse de décliner, tombant en 2012 à son niveau le plus bas depuis 40 ans. Une situation inquiétante qui s’explique par la diminution des capacités de production, notamment en France. Car dans le même temps, l’émergence d’une nouvelle bourgeoisie russe, américaine et chinoise a fait exploser la demande.

Is the world heading for a shortage of wine? This is the case according to Morgan Stanley, in a study published on Wednesday. There seems no let-up in the decline, falling in 2012 to it’s lowest level for 40 years. A worrying situation when explained by the reduction in production capacities, notably in France. While at the same time, the emergence of new upper middle-class (Bourgeoisie) Russians, Americans and Chinese are causing an explosion in demand for wine.
La production mondiale de vin a culminé en 2004, où le secteur affichait “un excès de 600 millions de caisses“. Comme il est possible de le voir sur le graphique ci-dessous.

World wine production culminated in 2004, when the sector recorded “an excess of 600 million cases”. See the graph below.

 

Production globale (en bleu foncé) et consommation (en bleu ciel) entre 2001 et 2013. Morgan Stanley Research

Global production (dark blue) and consumed (light blue) between 2001 and 2013.

Les capacités de production ont particulièrement diminué en Europe où elles sont aujourd’hui inférieures de 10 % à celles de 2005, notamment en France, premier producteur mondial, suivi par l’Italie et l’Espagne.

The production capacities have particularly reduced in Europe and are now 10% less than 2005, notably in France, the number one world producer, followed by Italy and Spain.

Comment expliquer ce déclin, particulièrement en France ? Un rapport du Sénat français publié récemment l’explique de deux raisons : la diminution de la demande nationale, et un changement dans les consommations de vin. A cette tendance de fond s’est ajoutée l’an dernier une mauvaise météo.

How is the decline explained, particularly in France? A senate report recently published explains two reasons: the reduction in national demand, and changes in the consumption of wine. Another point can be added in that last year had bad weather.

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About bill

Worked in the technical / engineering area as a Science Laboratory Technician and as an Aeronautics Engineer. The artistic side involves writing under the nom de plume of Billy Olsenn, his recently written play 'A Case of Wine' was staged by the players group Straight Make-Up at the 2012 Birr one act drama festival. It's next staging was in the one act circuit is in Cavan, at Maudebawn on Sat 10 Nov 2012. Then it was performed in the Bray, Co.Wicklow at the very popular one act festival in January 2013. Next play is FEAR. A dark tale about revenge on the cruel death of two pensioners by young thugs. Neighbours hatch a devious and dangerous plan to exact old-style revenge. Bill is a member of the Drama League of Ireland and his plays have been critically vetted and certified as original pieces of work by the DLI. Another literary project is that of commemoration of an aircraft crash on Djouce mountain in Wicklow in 1946. Bill wrote articles for the 50th, 60th and most recently the 70th anniversary, (12 Aug 2016) all were published in the Wicklow Times and ensured the survivors of the crash, all French Girl Guides, were not forgotten. Articles reproduced on this website. But mostly this site gives a more general European and specific French slant on popular and not so popular articles of French news, translated to English by the author. Each article is translated on a paragraph by paragraph basis so easy to read in either language and even possible to improve either language by comparison of the short English and French paragraphs. Amusez vous bien. The author is currently writing an easy to read technical aviation book centered around the Fokker 50. Another interest is that dealt with in another of Bill's websites www.realnamara.net, a Statue of the mother of God, Mary. It was erected in 1972 in Dublin, at the end of the Bull Wall near Clontarf, and my grandfather William Nelson, was the main instigator of that project. I give talks on the history of the statue and my grandfather's adventurous and dangerous life at sea. Technical assistance with each website is by J O'N.
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